Viktoria are unlikely to keep a clean sheet against a side averaging 2.1 goals a game in this year's Conference League. However, a victory is far from guaranteed for Fiorentina, who have secured just two road wins in five (including the playoff round) in the competition this term, pointing to a share of the spoils on Thursday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.03) 
0.03) 
