These two sides have shared the results of this meeting in recent years and while Atalanta enter the game in superior form than the hosts, Fiorentina have not lost at home to Gasperini's side since April 2021, leading us to believe this one will end all square.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match.
0.19) 
-0.41) 
