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Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
AL

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Atalanta

Mandragora (31')
Mandragora (55'), Kouame (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Miranchuk (29'), de Roon (78'), Scamacca (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 0-3 Atalanta
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta BC

These two sides have shared the results of this meeting in recent years and while Atalanta enter the game in superior form than the hosts, Fiorentina have not lost at home to Gasperini's side since April 2021, leading us to believe this one will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
51.94% (0.188 0.19) 23.81% (-0.411 -0.41) 24.24% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 54.79% (1.557 1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (1.946 1.95)46.42% (-1.951 -1.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3% (1.804 1.8)68.7% (-1.809 -1.81)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (0.80800000000001 0.81)17.86% (-0.811 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (1.376 1.38)48.63% (-1.38 -1.38)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (1.251 1.25)33.29% (-1.255 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.09% (1.354 1.35)69.91% (-1.357 -1.36)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 51.94%
    Atalanta BC 24.24%
    Draw 23.81%
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.194 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.134 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 51.94%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.505 -0.51)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.205 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.316 -0.32)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.138 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 M. Haifa
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Roma
Sunday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: M. Haifa 3-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, March 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio
Monday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-3 Atalanta
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Atalanta
Sunday, March 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, March 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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