Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for Genk had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Genk |
54.6% ( 6.57) | 21.94% ( -1.6) | 23.46% ( -4.97) |
Both teams to score 60.27% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.27% ( 3.03) | 38.73% ( -3.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.96% ( 3.13) | 61.04% ( -3.13) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.8% ( 3.4) | 14.19% ( -3.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.1% ( 6.26) | 41.9% ( -6.26) |
Genk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% ( -2.14) | 29.75% ( 2.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.18% ( -2.68) | 65.82% ( 2.68) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Genk |
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.72) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.88) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.99) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.73) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.71) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.38) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.36) Other @ 3.37% Total : 54.6% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.87) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.63) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.93) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -1.13) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.92) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.55) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.47) Other @ 3.09% Total : 23.46% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: