SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Cukaricki had a probability of 12.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Cukaricki win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Cukaricki |
70.32% ( 0.01) | 17.41% ( 0) | 12.27% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.82% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.64% ( -0.04) | 37.35% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.43% ( -0.04) | 59.57% ( 0.04) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.5% ( -0.01) | 9.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.15% ( -0.02) | 31.85% ( 0.02) |
| Cukaricki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.36% ( -0.04) | 41.63% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.88% ( -0.04) | 78.11% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Cukaricki |
| 2-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.38% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 70.31% | 1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.41% | 1-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.44% Total : 12.27% |
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