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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
FL

Juventus
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Gatti (21')
Cambiaso (69'), Yildiz (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Beltran (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Lazio
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina

Both teams are desperate to stop the rot in Serie A, so a gritty contest is set to take place in Turin. As Juventus boast the better attacking options - mostly former Fiorentina players - they can snatch all three points with a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawFiorentina
42.24% (-0.34200000000001 -0.34) 27.32% (0.109 0.11) 30.44% (0.236 0.24)
Both teams to score 48.64% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.35% (-0.322 -0.32)56.65% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.259 -0.26)77.62% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (-0.327 -0.33)26.49% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (-0.438 -0.44)61.68% (0.44 0.44)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)33.83% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (0.004999999999999 0)70.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 42.24%
    Fiorentina 30.44%
    Draw 27.32%
JuventusDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 11.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 42.24%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 30.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Lazio
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Juventus
Saturday, March 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, March 17 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Atalanta
Sunday, March 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Juventus
Sunday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-2 Frosinone
Sunday, February 25 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 M. Haifa
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Roma
Sunday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: M. Haifa 3-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, March 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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