SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Telstar |
51.94% ( 0.06) | 21.97% ( -0.03) | 26.09% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.19% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.79% ( 0.11) | 36.22% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.67% ( 0.12) | 58.33% ( -0.12) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.83% ( 0.06) | 14.17% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.14% ( 0.12) | 41.87% ( -0.12) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( 0.03) | 26.38% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.47% ( 0.05) | 61.53% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.53% Total : 51.94% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.09% |
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