Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.03) 
