Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
Result | ||
Telstar | Draw | Umm Salal |
50.8% ( -0.01) | 22.23% ( -0) | 26.96% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 63.09% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.3% ( 0.01) | 36.69% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.14% ( 0.01) | 58.86% ( -0.01) |
Telstar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.28% ( 0) | 14.72% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.08% ( 0) | 42.92% ( -0) |
Umm Salal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.98% ( 0.01) | 26.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% ( 0.01) | 61.04% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Telstar | Draw | Umm Salal |
2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.05% 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.9% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 4.26% Total : 50.8% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.56% 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.96% |
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