SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
52.18% ( 0.38) | 20.49% ( -0.01) | 27.33% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 70.08% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.24% ( -0.3) | 27.76% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.56% ( -0.38) | 48.44% ( 0.38) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.81% | 11.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.3% ( 0) | 35.7% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( -0.38) | 21.08% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( -0.59) | 53.9% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.18% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.33% |
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