SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 75.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 3-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Vitesse |
75.64% ( 0.21) | 14.23% ( 0.06) | 10.13% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( -1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.61% ( -1.2) | 27.39% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.02% ( -1.52) | 47.98% ( 1.52) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.97% ( -0.22) | 6.03% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.03% ( -0.63) | 22.97% ( 0.63) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.76% ( -1.38) | 38.24% ( 1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25% ( -1.36) | 75% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.38)4-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.15)6-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.07)Other @ 5% Total : 75.64% | 1-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.24% Total : 14.23% | 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.55% Total : 10.13% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
