Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 76.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 8.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Telstar |
76.73% ( 0.21) | 14.3% ( -0.06) | 8.97% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 52.26% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.07% ( -0.24) | 31.93% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.51% ( -0.28) | 53.49% ( 0.28) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.18% ( -0.01) | 6.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.87% ( -0.03) | 25.13% ( 0.03) |
Telstar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.08% ( -0.48) | 43.92% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.94% ( -0.4) | 80.05% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Telstar |
2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.7% Total : 76.72% | 1-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.03% Total : 14.3% | 1-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.76% Total : 8.97% |
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