Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
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