Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.02) 
