SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Wehen Wiesbaden win it was 2-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wehen Wiesbaden | Draw | RB Leipzig |
22.03% ( -0.27) | 22.54% ( 0.05) | 55.42% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.25% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.82% ( -0.55) | 43.18% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% ( -0.55) | 65.58% ( 0.54) |
| Wehen Wiesbaden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( -0.55) | 33.46% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% ( -0.6) | 70.1% ( 0.6) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( -0.12) | 15.45% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.68% ( -0.23) | 44.31% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wehen Wiesbaden | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 22.03% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 55.42% |
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