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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
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RB Leipzig
5 - 1
Stuttgart

Henrichs (51'), Olmo (63'), Openda (66'), Kampl (74'), Simons (76')
Rose (45+7'), Schlager (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (35')
Egloff (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 5-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Stuttgart

Stuttgart will carry plenty of threat in transition with the pace and finishing abilities of Silas and Guirassy, who will both be extremely confident after scoring twice each on the opening day. However, Leipzig's performance was not bad by any means despite being defeated away to Leverkusen on Sunday, and we expect them to bounce back given that their home form has been so impressive under Rose's tutelage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawStuttgart
38.78% (-1.147 -1.15) 25.62% (0.134 0.13) 35.6% (1.009 1.01)
Both teams to score 55.47% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44% (-0.464 -0.46)48.55% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (-0.424 -0.42)70.67% (0.42200000000001 0.42)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.80800000000001 -0.81)24.63% (0.805 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-1.143 -1.14)59.13% (1.138 1.14)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.37400000000001 0.37)26.4% (-0.378 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (0.499 0.5)61.56% (-0.503 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 38.78%
    Stuttgart 35.6%
    Draw 25.61%
RB LeipzigDrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.78%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.122 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 8.66% (0.253 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.229 0.23)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 12 at 7.45pm in DFL-Supercup
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, June 3 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-2 Schalke
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Balingen 0-4 Stuttgart
Saturday, August 12 at 12pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, August 5 at 12.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hamburger SV 1-3 Stuttgart
Monday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Hamburger SV
Thursday, June 1 at 7.45pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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