Despite the promise of goals, the winner of the last five games between Leverkusen and Leipzig has seen the winning side keep a clean sheet. That is not expected this time, with Alonso's side edging proceedings in gameweek one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 38.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	RB Leipzig
38.05% ( -1.96)	23.67% ( -0.23)	38.27% ( 2.19)

Both teams to score 62.74% (

1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.76% (

1.29)

39.23% (

-1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.43% (

1.33)

61.56% (

-1.33)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15% (

-0.37)

20.85% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.46% (

-0.58)

53.53% (

0.58)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.26% (

1.67)

20.74% (

-1.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.63% (

2.56)

53.36% (

-2.57)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 38.05%

RB Leipzig 38.27%

Draw 23.67%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.86% Total : 38.05%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.21) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.89% Total : 38.27%