SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | RB Leipzig |
27.2% ( -0.02) | 22.87% ( 0.04) | 49.93% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.99% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.44% ( -0.21) | 39.56% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.09% ( -0.21) | 61.91% ( 0.22) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% ( -0.12) | 27.34% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.2% ( -0.15) | 62.8% ( 0.16) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.94% ( -0.08) | 16.06% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.57% ( -0.15) | 45.43% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.75% 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 27.2% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.05% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.93% |
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