Considering the contrasting starts that both teams have made to the new season, Leipzig will be regarded as favourites to claim maximum points on Saturday.
Monchengladbach have had plenty of success in their recent home meetings with Leipzig, but we believe that the in-form visitors will claim a comfortable victory at Borussia-Park this time around.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
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