SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 15.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
67.12% ( 0.99) | 17.74% ( -0.29) | 15.13% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.13% ( -0.08) | 31.87% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.59% ( -0.09) | 53.41% ( 0.09) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.21% ( 0.2) | 8.78% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.85% ( 0.48) | 30.15% ( -0.49) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.02% ( -0.89) | 33.97% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.35% ( -0.97) | 70.65% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.4% Total : 67.12% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.74% | 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.57% Total : 15.13% |
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