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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
BL

West Brom
4 - 1
Blackburn

Fellows (11'), Thomas-Asante (30', 63'), Hyam (33' og.)
Bartley (40'), Kipre (43')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Garrett (60')

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Blackburn Rovers

Although West Brom are light in terms of attacking options due to Diangana's AFCON involvement and Sarmiento's departure, the hosts still have a first-choice defence available, which has been key to so many of their wins at The Hawthorns this season. Blackburn have lost their last four Championship away matches - conceding 13 goals in the process - and we cannot imagine Rovers earning anything on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBlackburn Rovers
57.51% (-0.107 -0.11) 21.56% (0.032 0.03) 20.92% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 57.98% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)40.12% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)62.49% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.25% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)13.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.97% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)41.03% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (0.039000000000001 0.04)32.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (0.044 0.04)69.34% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 57.51%
    Blackburn Rovers 20.92%
    Draw 21.56%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 57.51%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.56%
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 20.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Brom 4-1 Aldershot
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 West Brom
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Leeds
Friday, December 29 at 8.15pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 West Brom
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 5-2 Cambridge
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Rotherham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 3-2 Blackburn
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 3-0 Blackburn
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-2 Watford
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship


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