Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
57.51% ( -0.11) | 21.56% ( 0.03) | 20.92% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% ( -0.05) | 40.12% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.51% ( -0.05) | 62.49% ( 0.05) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.25% ( -0.05) | 13.75% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.97% ( -0.1) | 41.03% ( 0.1) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.22% ( 0.04) | 32.78% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.66% ( 0.04) | 69.34% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 57.51% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 20.92% |
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