SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 12%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Aldershot Town |
70.15% ( -0.07) | 17.84% ( 0.02) | 12% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.87% ( 0.01) | 40.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.5% ( 0.01) | 62.5% ( -0.02) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.73% ( -0.02) | 10.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.35% ( -0.03) | 33.64% ( 0.03) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.1% ( 0.09) | 43.9% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.96% ( 0.07) | 80.04% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.29% 4-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 4.37% Total : 70.15% | 1-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 17.84% | 0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.24% Total : 12% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
