SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Stoke City |
45.2% ( 0.23) | 25.7% ( 0.41) | 29.1% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 52.87% ( -1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.13% ( -1.99) | 50.87% ( 1.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.24% ( -1.78) | 72.75% ( 1.78) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0.74) | 22.46% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.99% ( -1.11) | 56% ( 1.11) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% ( -1.48) | 31.8% ( 1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% ( -1.73) | 68.24% ( 1.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.19% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.1% |
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