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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
WL

West Brom
2 - 2
Watford

Thomas-Asante (70'), Furlong (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kayembe (51'), Rajovic (66')
Dennis (30')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 West Brom
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Leeds
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Watford

West Brom have been renowned for their stellar home form this season, and we are expecting the Baggies to continue their Black Country form on Easter Monday. Watford went toe-to-toe with Premier League-bound Leeds at Vicarage Road on Good Friday, but we believe that a trip to The Hawthorns will yield no returns for Cleverley's troops. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawWatford
46.22% (0.109 0.11) 26.56% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 27.22% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.152 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (0.21299999999999 0.21)55.26% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (0.176 0.18)76.48% (-0.173 -0.17)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (0.146 0.15)23.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (0.208 0.21)58.07% (-0.204 -0.2)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (0.078000000000003 0.08)35.58% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (0.079999999999998 0.08)72.35% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 46.21%
    Watford 27.22%
    Draw 26.56%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 46.21%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 27.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 West Brom
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-4 West Brom
Sunday, March 10 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-2 West Brom
Wednesday, March 6 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-1 Coventry
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, February 24 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Leeds
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Watford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Coventry
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Swansea
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship


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