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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
WL

Millwall
1 - 0
Watford

Flemming (3')
McNamara (45'), Leonard (75'), Flemming (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kayembe (1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-0 Watford

A sold-out Den will give returning coach Harris a resounding reception on Saturday afternoon, and we feel that a hostile home crowd could push Millwall towards victory. Watford's season has stalled in recent weeks, and we are expecting another tough Championship contest for the Hornets this weekend in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawWatford
31.65% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 26.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 41.53% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.62% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (0.052 0.05)54.36% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (0.042000000000002 0.04)75.74% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23% (0.086999999999989 0.09)31.77% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8% (0.099999999999998 0.1)68.2% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)25.81% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)60.77% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 31.65%
    Watford 41.52%
    Draw 26.82%
MillwallDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.79% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.65%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 11.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 7.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 41.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-4 Ipswich
Wednesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Millwall
Sunday, February 11 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Preston
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Watford
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-2 Watford
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Leicester
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Watford
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Watford 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship


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