Having not won at Vicarage Road since November 25, Watford are devoid of confidence on their own patch but possess the quality to earn a result this weekend.
Coventry have alternated lacklustre displays with handsome victories over the past fortnight - we are expecting something in the middle of those two extremes from the Sky Blues on Saturday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
