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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
BC

West Brom
2 - 0
Bristol City

Fellows (45'), Wallace (50')
Townsend (28'), Yokuslu (71'), Kipre (85'), Palmer (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Knight (45+1'), Knight (45'), Gardner-Hickman (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-4 West Brom
Sunday, March 10 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Bristol City

West Brom have added attacking flair to their defensive stability since the turn of the calendar year and should be very confident of another home victory on Saturday. Bristol City are in the doldrums following a poor run of form and at risk of being swept aside at The Hawthorns as the Baggies chase down the Premier League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 49.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBristol City
49.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.5% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.47% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.018000000000001 0.02)74.14% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (0.025999999999996 0.03)54.3% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)35.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.45% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 49.2%
    Bristol City 25.29%
    Draw 25.5%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 49.2%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 25.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-4 West Brom
Sunday, March 10 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-2 West Brom
Wednesday, March 6 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-1 Coventry
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, February 24 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-3 West Brom
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-2 Southampton
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 QPR
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 3-1 Southampton
Tuesday, February 13 at 8pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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