SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Freiburg |
45.71% ( -0.31) | 24.33% ( 0.09) | 29.96% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.92% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% ( -0.29) | 44.51% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.12% ( -0.28) | 66.88% ( 0.28) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( -0.24) | 19.61% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.45% ( -0.4) | 51.55% ( 0.4) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( 0) | 27.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.42% ( 0) | 63.58% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 45.71% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.96% |
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