SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Arsenal |
25.81% ( 0) | 24.75% ( 0.02) | 49.44% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.95% ( -0.1) | 49.05% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% ( -0.09) | 71.12% ( 0.1) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( -0.05) | 33.4% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.97% ( -0.06) | 70.03% ( 0.07) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( -0.04) | 19.86% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.03% ( -0.08) | 51.97% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.81% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 49.44% |
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