SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 37.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Freiburg |
38.15% ( -1.69) | 23.95% ( 0.14) | 37.9% ( 1.55) |
| Both teams to score 61.66% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.38% ( -0.59) | 40.62% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37% ( -0.61) | 63% ( 0.61) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( -1.07) | 21.41% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.59% ( -1.67) | 54.41% ( 1.67) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% ( 0.52) | 21.53% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( 0.8) | 54.6% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.15% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.9% |
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