Wigan have won each of their last three home games, and we think that they will extend that winning run against a Burton side that will be low on confidence following four consecutive defeats.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
