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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
33.17% ( -2.01) | 25.73% ( -0.4) | 41.09% ( 2.41) |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.52% ( 1.35) | 49.48% ( -1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.48% ( 1.2) | 71.52% ( -1.19) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.68% ( -0.59) | 28.32% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.95% ( -0.76) | 64.05% ( 0.76) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( 1.88) | 23.85% ( -1.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.97% ( 2.62) | 58.03% ( -2.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.63) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.49)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.17% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.37)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.37)0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.2)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.18)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.09% |
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