Burton have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent away games, but we think that their four-game unbeaten away run will ultimately come to an end against a Portsmouth side that has recorded four consecutive home victories.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
0.08) 
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