Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Burton Albion |
64.99% ( 0.08) | 20.42% ( -0.06) | 14.58% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.01% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.25% ( 0.2) | 45.74% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.94% ( 0.19) | 68.06% ( -0.2) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.7% ( 0.08) | 13.29% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.88% ( 0.18) | 40.12% ( -0.18) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.52% ( 0.09) | 43.47% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.31% ( 0.07) | 79.69% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Burton Albion |
2-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 64.98% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.42% | 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 14.58% |
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