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National League South | Gameweek 31
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium
TU

Worthing
4 - 2
Torquay Utd

Fage (22'), Cashman (29', 90'), Pearce (41')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Lapslie (11'), Archer (66')
Moxey (88')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Slough
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.67%) and 3-1 (5.35%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawTorquay United
43.78% (0.188 0.19) 22.15% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05) 34.07% (-0.133 -0.13)
Both teams to score 67.93% (0.169 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.8% (0.23899999999999 0.24)32.2% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.2% (0.276 0.28)53.8% (-0.274 -0.27)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (0.16500000000001 0.17)15.48% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.63% (0.30399999999999 0.3)44.37% (-0.302 -0.3)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.37% (0.045999999999992 0.05)19.63% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.42% (0.075000000000003 0.08)51.58% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 43.78%
    Torquay United 34.07%
    Draw 22.15%
WorthingDrawTorquay United
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 5.67% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.015 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 43.78%
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 7.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.04% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.37% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 22.15%
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.8% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 34.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Slough
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Worthing
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-4 Worthing
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-4 Worthing
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-1 Truro City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-2 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South


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