SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Worthing |
26.26% ( -0.35) | 23.26% ( -0.1) | 50.48% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 58.74% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.85% ( 0.15) | 42.14% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.45% ( 0.15) | 64.55% ( -0.15) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( -0.18) | 29.38% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.63% ( -0.22) | 65.36% ( 0.22) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.18% ( 0.22) | 16.81% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.21% ( 0.39) | 46.79% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 26.26% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.72% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 50.48% |
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