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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Worthing |
34.62% ( 0.02) | 24.9% ( 0.03) | 40.48% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( -0.13) | 45.46% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( -0.12) | 67.79% ( 0.12) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% ( -0.05) | 25.51% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.64% ( -0.07) | 60.36% ( 0.07) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( -0.08) | 22.39% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% ( -0.11) | 55.89% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.62% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.48% |
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