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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
CT

Wrexham
2 - 1
Crawley

Lee (24'), Cleworth (79')
Dobson (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Quitirna (54')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 Wrexham
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Crawley Town

Wrexham have won all four competitive home games this season by a combined 11-3 scoreline, and we think that they will make full use of their dominance on home turf to sweep past Crawley at the Racecourse Ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
51.67% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 23.12% (-0.026 -0.03) 25.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.19% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6% (0.073999999999998 0.07)42.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (0.074000000000005 0.07)64.8% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.057000000000002 0.06)16.48% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.81% (0.101 0.1)46.19% (-0.1 -0.1)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.33% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)66.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 51.67%
    Crawley Town 25.21%
    Draw 23.12%
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 10.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 25.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 Wrexham
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Reading
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Wrexham
Sunday, August 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Brighton 4-0 Crawley
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 2-2 Brighton U21s (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One


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