Crawley Town have shown positive signs on their return to League One and should have plenty of optimism under Scott Lindsey, but they may lack the quality to match Barnsley on Saturday and could succumb to a narrow defeat against a Reds side growing in confidence.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.01) 
