Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Crawley Town |
20.61% ( -1.1) | 23.73% ( -0.25) | 55.65% ( 1.35) |
Both teams to score 50.39% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.03% ( -0.25) | 49.96% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.05% ( -0.22) | 71.95% ( 0.22) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.3% ( -1.25) | 38.69% ( 1.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.57% ( -1.21) | 75.43% ( 1.2) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.19% ( 0.41) | 17.8% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.47% ( 0.7) | 48.52% ( -0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.61% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 10.25% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 55.63% |
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