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League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
WA

Crawley
0 - 1
Wrexham


Wright (70'), Gordon (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Palmer (13')
Palmer (33'), Mendy (43'), McClean (45+1'), Hayden (76'), Fletcher (82'), O'Connor (90+7')
Cannon (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Crawley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Wrexham

Crawley Town have the best home record in League Two, while Wrexham have not been particularly impressive on the road, with their only away win coming against 22nd-placed Tranmere Rovers. Given that three points separate the two sides in the table, they are clearly evenly-matched, so we are expecting a draw this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawWrexham
39.79% (0.169 0.17) 23.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 36.43% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 62.24% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.17% (0.022999999999996 0.02)39.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.19% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.088999999999999 0.09)20.28% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.36% (0.143 0.14)52.64% (-0.145 -0.15)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)21.92% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.8% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)55.19% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 39.79%
    Wrexham 36.43%
    Draw 23.77%
Crawley TownDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.09% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 39.79%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Crawley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Sutton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-3 Crawley
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-2 Tranmere
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 4-1 Newport
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 4-3 Charlton
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 3-3 Crewe
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Doncaster
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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