SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 53.01%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.91%) and 1-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crawley Town |
53.01% ( 0) | 21.41% ( -0) | 25.58% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 64.75% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.06% ( 0.01) | 33.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.2% ( 0.01) | 55.8% ( -0.01) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% ( 0) | 13.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.37% ( 0.01) | 39.63% ( -0.01) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% ( 0) | 25.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.62% ( 0.01) | 60.38% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.4% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 4.37% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.97% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.34% Total : 53.01% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-1 @ 4.55% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.39% Total : 25.58% |
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