Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 67.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Yeclano Deportivo had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Yeclano Deportivo win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.
0.6) 
-1.29) 
