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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
GL

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Girona

Garcia (5')
Garcia (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dovbyk (42'), Savio (65')
Gutierrez (13'), Martin (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-4 Girona
Saturday, November 4 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-3 Girona

Girona have won just one of their last eight competitive meetings with Rayo, but while we expect Saturday's contest to be a closely-fought affair, the visitors continue to demonstrate that they have the firepower to beat almost any team in the division, and we believe they will do enough to claim three more points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawGirona
34.27% (0.053999999999995 0.05) 25.82% (0.16 0.16) 39.91% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Both teams to score 54.58% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (-0.686 -0.69)49.61% (0.685 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.618 -0.62)71.63% (0.616 0.62)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.297 -0.3)27.7% (0.295 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.384 -0.38)63.26% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)24.51% (0.418 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)58.97% (0.589 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 34.27%
    Girona 39.91%
    Draw 25.81%
Rayo VallecanoDrawGirona
1-0 @ 8.72% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.59% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.27%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.187 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 9.55% (0.149 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, November 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico Lugones 0-6 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, November 1 at 11am in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, October 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, October 22 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-2 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Mallorca
Saturday, September 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-4 Girona
Saturday, November 4 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: San Roque de Lepe 1-2 Girona
Wednesday, November 1 at 11am in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 1-0 Celta Vigo
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 5-2 Almeria
Sunday, October 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Girona
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 0-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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