SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 23.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | FC Tokyo |
56.69% ( -0.09) | 19.91% ( -0.01) | 23.4% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 67.83% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.1% ( 0.16) | 28.89% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.15% ( 0.2) | 49.85% ( -0.2) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.61% ( 0.03) | 10.38% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.1% ( 0.06) | 33.9% ( -0.06) |
| FC Tokyo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( 0.17) | 24.31% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.3% ( 0.23) | 58.69% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | FC Tokyo |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.92% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 56.69% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 19.91% | 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 23.4% |
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