Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.