Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
34.4% ( -0.05)	28.15% ( 0.01)	37.45% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 47.26% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.13% (

-0.03)

58.87% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.63% (

-0.02)

79.37% (

0.03)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.79% (

-0.05)

32.21% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.3% (

-0.06)

68.7% (

0.06)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72% (

0.01)

30.28% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.55% (

0.01)

66.45% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 34.39%

Nagoya Grampus 37.45%

Draw 28.15%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.39%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.15%	0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.45%