SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.19%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 20.78% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 3-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
59.19% ( -0.49) | 20.03% ( 0.17) | 20.78% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 63.4% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.04% ( -0.39) | 32.95% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.33% ( -0.45) | 54.66% ( 0.44) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89% ( -0.25) | 11% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.72% ( -0.54) | 35.27% ( 0.54) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 0.06) | 28.76% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( 0.07) | 64.6% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 59.19% | 1-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.03% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.2% Total : 20.78% |
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