Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
-0.34) 
0.32) 
