While Yokohama have not been in full flight this season, they do still possess one of the most talented squads in the division, and their record at home is significantly better than their away stats.
Tokyo Verdy have made a very promising return to the top flight, but we feel they will struggle to keep up with the AFC Champions League runners-up in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-2.76) 
0.81) 
