Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 0-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Yverdon Sport win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
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