SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Young Boys |
49.3% ( 0.59) | 23.61% ( 0.03) | 27.09% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.91% ( -0.56) | 43.09% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.51% ( -0.55) | 65.49% ( 0.56) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( 0.02) | 17.61% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.81% ( 0.02) | 48.2% ( -0.01) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% ( -0.73) | 29.25% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( -0.91) | 65.21% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Young Boys |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.78% Total : 49.3% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.34% Total : 27.09% |
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