SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 14.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 0-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Yverdon Sport win it was 2-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yverdon Sport | Draw | Basel |
14.52% ( 0) | 17.91% ( 0.02) | 67.57% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.84% ( -0.1) | 34.16% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.96% ( -0.12) | 56.04% ( 0.12) |
| Yverdon Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.74% ( -0.06) | 36.25% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.96% ( -0.07) | 73.04% ( 0.07) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.71% ( -0.03) | 9.29% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.63% ( -0.08) | 31.37% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yverdon Sport | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 4.12% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 14.52% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.91% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.53% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.13% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.67% Total : 67.57% |
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